Distressed Real Estate Acquisitions: Mitigating the Risks

A recent report in the WSJ details the FDIC's efforts to sell off real-estate loans acquired from failed banks.  This describes on a larger scale transactions which have become quite common in the Southeast as community banks and regional lenders unload unwanted assets.  

In fact, most CRE trading today involves distressed assets-either REO properties or note sales.  This trend will likely grow in 2010 as more lenders work through problem assets.  These transactions create opportunities for investors as properties trade at a fraction of the prices seen at peak levels, oftentimes at discounts up to 40 or even 60%. 

But these opportunities come with increased legal risks.  Because of the fire-sale prices, the sellers are demanding (and receiving) quick closings with very short due-diligence periods and few if any representations or warranties which survive closing.  As a result, buyers should take several steps to mitigate the increased risks:

  • First, insist on certain basic reps and warranties:  disclosure of borrower defaults, loan balances, and at the most basic level, that the seller owns the note and has the authority to sell.  (See this Bryan Cave report for more detail on seller reps in a note sale.)
  • Second, be prepared to move quickly on due diligence.  Buyers should make best efforts to perform the same level of due diligence as in a non-distressed transaction.  One potential advantage is access to the lender's due diligence files.  Insist on this access as early as possible.  But do not agree to a due diligence period that is unrealistically short.
  • Third, due to the distressed nature of the asset, pay particular attention to the possibility of past-due taxes and utility bills.  These liabilities will become the responsibility of the buyer after closing.
  • Fourth, review the lender's documents and files critically.  The stress in RE markets is revealing that many lenders were often sloppy in their underwriting and due diligence.  Do not assume that the documents are correct, enforceable, or free of defect.  Also, look for correspondence or documentation that could allow the borrower to claim that the loan terms have been modified.

From the seller's perspective, the timing with oftentimes be the primary motivation.  The lenders will generally want non-performing assets off the books by the end of a month or fiscal quarter.  In exchange for meeting these deadlines, a seller may make other concessions. 

Buyers with an understanding of the increased risks, along with the ability to mitigate these risks and close quickly, will find incredible opportunities to profit from the current downturn in CRE.

Uncertain Future for CMBS Loans

According to a recent article in the Atlanta Business Chronicle, "$3.7B in CMBS coming due from 2010 to 2012," approximately $3.7 billion in CMBS loans will mature in the Atlanta market alone between now and the end of 2012.  This provides a local perspective on a problem playing out nationwide.  The CMBS market is not functioning, and as the outstanding loans mature, financing is not currently available. 

The striking point about this problem is that there has been no concrete suggestions concerning where liquidity will be found.  According to William Boston's article in the Wall Street Journal, there is some indication that overseas investors will view depressed real estate prices and a weak dollar as an opportunity to purchase U.S. assets at bargain prices.  But so far, this hope seems to be based mostly on speculation and anecdotal evidence.  There has been much talk about the government’s proposed TALF program and whether it will help fill this void. Initial reports indicate that the program is off to slow start.

Unless liquidity returns to debt markets for CRE, it appears that many assets financed by CMBS loans will be turned over to special servicers.  And in fact, this is already occurring and accelerating at an alarming pace according to some reports.  (To see how this process plays out, see Joel Ross' article from hotelnewnow.com.)  What we will likely see is that special servicers will have to get creative in dealing with distressed assets.  Much remains unknown concerning how this process ultimately will play out . 

Impact of Commercial Real Estate Defaults on Overall Economy

Amongst the drumbeat of bad news and dire predictions, I enjoyed a recent article on Retail Traffic for its fresh perspective ("Commercial Real Estate Debt Won't Be the Next Shoe to Drop, Economists Say").  Many commentators have predicted that commercial real estate loan defaults will be the "next shoe to drop" on a economy struggling to find its footing in a fledgling recovery. 

The Retail Traffic article cites economists who predict that the impact of CRE loan defaults will not be as widespread as the fallout from residential mortgages.  Without a doubt, problems lie ahead in commercial real estate, principally from the lack of affordable debt financing at reasonable levels of leverage, but the fundamentals underlying CRE will ultimately be driven by the health of the economy.  As unemployment slowly moderates and consumer spending falls into a more normal and sustainable pattern, commercial properties, including multi-family and retail, as well as office, will gradually find their footing.

This report at least hold out some hope that the CRE issues should not have the same degree of impact as the residential crisis.